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Showing 120 Events

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

Entry

  • December 315%

24h -0.1 pts

$36k Vol.

US strike on Mexico by...?

Entry

  • December 3110%

24h -0.1 pts

$25k Vol.

Will Russia capture Lyman by...?

Entry

  • December 3114%
  • September 302%

24h -3.5 pts

$11k Vol.

Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?

Entry

  • December 31, 202622%

24h -4.0 pts

$7k Vol.

US strike on Colombia by...?

Entry

  • December 3116%

24h -0.1 pts

$7k Vol.

AI bubble burst by...?

Entry

  • December 31, 202612%

24h -2.5 pts

$5k Vol.

Russia nuclear test by...?

Entry

  • December 31, 20266%
  • September 30, 20262%

24h +1.3 pts

$4k Vol.

What will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit in September 2026?

Entry

  • ↓ $17591%
  • ↓ $18085%
  • ↑ $18578%

24h +50.0 pts

$2k Vol.

Khamenei # posts September 1 - September 8, 2026?

Entry

  • <599%
  • 35-390%
  • 55-590%

24h -3.8 pts

$2k Vol.

Lowest temperature in Los Angeles on September 6?

Entry

  • 66-67°F100%
  • 64-65°F7%
  • 72-73°F0%

24h —

$2k Vol.

French Senate Election: 2nd Most Seats?

Entry

  • SER64%
  • Union Centriste35%
  • Les Républicains1%

24h +8.0 pts

$2k Vol.

Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?

Entry

  • Lebanon9%
  • Venezuela9%
  • Kuwait7%

24h +4.0 pts

$2k Vol.

Alagoas Senate Election: 2nd Place

Entry

  • Marina JHC36%
  • Renan35%
  • Arthur Lira25%

24h -4.5 pts

$2k Vol.

Will CMI declare the Riemann Hypothesis solved by ___?

Entry

  • December 31, 202716%
  • December 31, 20264%

24h +4.2 pts

$2k Vol.

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

Entry

  • December 317%
  • September 301%

24h -0.2 pts

$2k Vol.

Highest temperature in Istanbul on September 6?

Entry

  • 29°C100%
  • 28°C0%
  • 33°C0%

24h +16.5 pts

$2k Vol.

How many hurricanes will form during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?

Entry

  • 051%
  • 1-335%
  • 4-67%

24h -16.5 pts

$2k Vol.

What will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit in September 2026?

Entry

  • ↑ $8082%
  • ↓ $7556%
  • ↑ $8532%

24h +46.5 pts

$2k Vol.

What will be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?

Entry

  • Turning Point: Generation 9/1199%
  • Grand Theft Auto VI: An Extended Look1%
  • The Whisper Man0%

24h -62.0 pts

$2k Vol.

Israel military action against Syria by...?

Entry

  • September 3021%

24h -10.5 pts

$2k Vol.

Bank of Canada Decision in October?

Entry

  • No Change80%
  • 25 bps increase20%
  • 25 bps decrease1%

24h -1.7 pts

$2k Vol.

How many jobs added in September?

Entry

  • 50k to 100k27%
  • 0 to 50k21%
  • 100k to 150k21%

24h —

$2k Vol.

Berlin State Election: 4th Place

Entry

  • Grüne47%
  • AfD26%
  • SPD14%

24h —

$2k Vol.

Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?

Entry

  • Yes97%
  • No3%

24h +0.3 pts

$2k Vol.

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?

Entry

  • December 315%
  • September 301%

24h -1.0 pts

$2k Vol.

Russia Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place

Entry

  • Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)46%
  • New People (NL)40%
  • Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)10%

24h +4.5 pts

$2k Vol.

Big Brother Season 28 Winner

Entry

  • Dee Valladares31%
  • Rick Devens21%
  • Yash Patel20%

24h —

$2k Vol.

Tocantins Senate Election: 1st Place

Entry

  • Eduardo Gomes69%
  • Alexandre Guimarães19%
  • Gaguim15%

24h +8.6 pts

$2k Vol.

Which companies will be acquired before 2027?

Entry

  • MGM Resorts39%
  • PayPal18%
  • Brown-Forman14%

24h +73.5 pts

$2k Vol.

Next Grok Model (4.6+): Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?

Entry

  • 35%+99%
  • 45%+3%
  • 50%+2%

24h +9.6 pts

$2k Vol.

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

Entry

  • 175%
  • 224%
  • 32%

24h -0.1 pts

$2k Vol.

What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (September 7 - September 13)

Entry

  • Star52%
  • Blockade30%
  • Woman28%

24h —

$2k Vol.

Israel and Syria normalize relations by...?

Entry

  • December 31, 20267%

24h —

$2k Vol.

Lowest temperature in Jinan on September 5?

Entry

  • 16°C100%
  • 14°C44%
  • 18°C1%

24h —

$2k Vol.

What will the median home value in the Austin Metro area be on September 30?

Entry

  • <$446K83%
  • $454K - $462K10%
  • $446K - $454K4%

24h -8.0 pts

$2k Vol.

Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of October?

Entry

  • Anthropic84%
  • OpenAI4%
  • SpaceXAI1%

24h -38.0 pts

$2k Vol.

Highest temperature in Wellington on September 7?

Entry

  • 10°C100%
  • 12°C0%
  • 11°C0%

24h —

$2k Vol.

USD x Iranian rials End of December?

Entry

  • 2.0 - 2.5M36%
  • 2.5 - 3.0M31%
  • <2.0M19%

24h +19.5 pts

$2k Vol.

Sweden Parliamentary Election: M Vote Share?

Entry

  • 16-18%38%
  • 18-20%37%
  • <16%16%

24h +2.5 pts

$2k Vol.

Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?

Entry

  • Yes3%
  • No97%

24h —

$2k Vol.

Next Mayor of Brno

Entry

  • Kamila Zlatušková27%
  • Jakub Hruška27%
  • Václav Trojan23%

24h -33.5 pts

$2k Vol.

Lowest temperature in Tokyo on September 6?

Entry

  • 21°C96%
  • 20°C5%
  • 18°C1%

24h +18.5 pts

$2k Vol.

What level will the Dubai Real Estate Index hit in 2026?

Entry

  • ↓ 10,00038%
  • ↑ 14,0007%
  • ↓ 8,0005%

24h —

$2k Vol.

Highest temperature in Seattle on September 6?

Entry

  • 72-73°F100%
  • 74-75°F0%
  • 70-71°F0%

24h —

$2k Vol.

What will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit in September 2026?

Entry

  • ↓ $17276%
  • ↓ $16876%
  • ↑ $18069%

24h —

$2k Vol.

Sergipe Governor Election Winner

Entry

  • Fábio70%
  • Valmir de Francisquinho30%
  • Taty Cristina de Jesus0%

24h +7.0 pts

$2k Vol.

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

Entry

  • Yes22%
  • No79%

24h —

$2k Vol.

Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in September

Entry

  • 25 bps increase80%
  • No change18%
  • 50+ bps decrease1%

24h -6.8 pts

$2k Vol.

Lowest temperature in Cape Town on September 5?

Entry

  • 10°C95%
  • 9°C or below47%
  • 11°C0%

24h +72.5 pts

$2k Vol.

Launceston Mayoral Election Winner

Entry

  • Matthew Garwood56%
  • Kyle Barrett18%
  • Tim Walker3%

24h -14.9 pts

$2k Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

Entry

  • Lula da Silva <5%40%
  • Lula da Silva 5-10%21%
  • Flávio Bolsonaro <5%20%

24h -1.0 pts

$2k Vol.

Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

Entry

  • Tencent28%
  • CATL25%
  • Alibaba18%

24h —

$2k Vol.

"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 6th Weekend Box Office

Entry

  • 15m+100%
  • 14-15m0%
  • 13-14m0%

24h —

$2k Vol.

What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?

Entry

  • The Whisper Man99%
  • Turning Point: Generation 9/111%
  • Grand Theft Auto VI: An Extended Look1%

24h +4.5 pts

$2k Vol.

Top Spotify Song 2026

Entry

  • End of Beginning – Djo62%
  • Babydoll – Dominic Fike34%
  • Swim – BTS2%

24h -2.6 pts

$2k Vol.

Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: More Votes to SPD or Grüne?

Entry

  • Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: M…100%

24h —

$2k Vol.

Latrobe Mayoral Election Winner

Entry

  • Brett Whiteley78%
  • Peter Freshney14%
  • Other50%

24h +17.3 pts

$2k Vol.

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

Entry

  • December 312%

24h +0.1 pts

$2k Vol.

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of September 7?

Entry

  • 25-2928%
  • 30-3428%
  • 35-3922%

24h -14.0 pts

$2k Vol.

West Tamar Mayoral Election Winner

Entry

  • Rick Shegog48%
  • Carl Cooper14%
  • Christina Holmdahl5%

24h -29.5 pts

$2k Vol.

What will Silver (XAGUSD) hit Week of September 7 2026?

Entry

  • ↑ $660%
  • ↑ $670%
  • ↑ $680%

24h —

$2k Vol.

US military action against Cuba by...?

Entry

  • December 3114%

24h —

$2k Vol.

Kash Patel out by...?

Entry

  • December 3123%
  • September 302%

24h —

$2k Vol.

"Runner" Rotten Tomatoes Score?

Entry

  • 50+77%
  • 60+30%
  • 70+10%

24h +3.0 pts

$2k Vol.

New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary: Margin of Victory

Entry

  • Pappas 15–20%49%
  • Pappas 20–25%24%
  • Pappas 30–35%24%

24h -14.0 pts

$2k Vol.

Avg. # of ships transiting Bab el-Mandeb Strait end of August?

Entry

  • <2596%
  • 25-292%
  • 30-340%

24h -10.3 pts

$2k Vol.

Highest score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

Entry

  • 60%+59%
  • 65%+30%
  • 70%+16%

24h -6.0 pts

$2k Vol.

Will a Chinese company have a top ___ AI model by December 31?

Entry

  • #326%
  • #19%

24h +61.3 pts

$2k Vol.

Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of September?

Entry

  • Alibaba32%
  • SpaceXAI26%
  • Moonshot11%

24h +17.5 pts

$2k Vol.

Montarville Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

Entry

  • Nathalie Roy76%
  • Jean-François Cloutier26%
  • Mathieu Lavoie1%

24h +19.5 pts

$2k Vol.

Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of September?

Entry

  • OpenAI45%
  • Google34%
  • Alibaba14%

24h —

$2k Vol.

Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

Entry

  • Andrés Fontecilla69%
  • Randy Legault-Rankin26%
  • Emil Parfyonov2%

24h +20.5 pts

$2k Vol.

What will the median home value in the SF Metro area be on September 30?

Entry

  • <$1.176M83%
  • $1.176M - $1.198M14%
  • $1.264M - $1.284M1%

24h -8.0 pts

$2k Vol.

#3 AI Lab end of September? (Style Control On)

Entry

  • Google56%
  • Meta24%
  • Moonshot7%

24h -11.9 pts

$2k Vol.

Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a comedy series

Entry

  • Kate O’Flynn – “Widow’s Bay”77%
  • Hannah Einbinder – “Hacks”19%
  • Michelle Pfeiffer – “Margo’s Got Money Troubles”3%

24h +3.5 pts

$2k Vol.

Lowest temperature in Beijing on September 5?

Entry

  • 18°C93%
  • 17°C13%
  • 16°C0%

24h —

$2k Vol.

Next Mayor of eThekwini (Durban)?

Entry

  • Mkhuleko Hlengwa36%
  • Zandile Hlophe-Mkhwanazi23%
  • Haniff Hoosen22%

24h —

$2k Vol.

Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?

Entry

  • Yes16%
  • No84%

24h +5.0 pts

$2k Vol.

Pernambuco Senate Election: 2nd Place

Entry

  • Mendonça Filho50%
  • Humberto Costa38%
  • Marília Arraes8%

24h +6.5 pts

$2k Vol.

Next Mayor of Pardubice

Entry

  • Jan Nadrchal54%
  • Jakub Rychtecký39%
  • Daniel Vondra3%

24h -14.0 pts

$2k Vol.

AfD wins the most seats in how many September state elections?

Entry

  • 270%
  • 118%
  • 39%

24h -4.5 pts

$2k Vol.

Next Gemini Flash Model (3.9+) released by...?

Entry

  • November 3091%
  • October 3189%

24h +28.5 pts

$2k Vol.

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

Entry

  • Jean-Luc Mélenchon96%
  • Marine Le Pen89%
  • Nathalie Arthaud86%

24h -4.2 pts

$2k Vol.

What will be said on the next All-In Podcast? (September 4)

Entry

  • Software100%
  • Anthropic 5+ times98%
  • IPO97%

24h +40.4 pts

$2k Vol.

Delaware Republican Senate Primary Winner

Entry

  • Michael Katz94%
  • John Shulli6%

24h -0.5 pts

$2k Vol.

NC-01 House Election Margin of Victory

Entry

  • Democrat 9-12%16%
  • Democrat 0-3%14%
  • Democrat 12%+14%

24h -22.5 pts

$2k Vol.

What will Natural Gas (NG) hit Week of September 7 2026?

Entry

  • ↓ $2.801%
  • ↓ $2.700%
  • ↑ $3.100%

24h —

$2k Vol.

#1 Searched Passing on Google 2026?

Entry

  • Dolly Parton46%
  • Oliver Tree14%
  • Ali Khamenei11%

24h -3.0 pts

$2k Vol.

CA-27 House Election Winner

Entry

  • Democratic Party95%
  • Republican Party5%

24h -1.1 pts

$2k Vol.

Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series

Entry

  • “The Late Show With Stephen Colbert”75%
  • “The Daily Show”8%
  • “Last Week Tonight With John Oliver”5%

24h -1.8 pts

$2k Vol.

Iowa Senate and Governor Combo

Entry

  • Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate46%
  • Dems sweep36%
  • Reps sweep20%

24h -4.0 pts

$2k Vol.

Rondônia Governor Election Winner

Entry

  • Marcos Rogério71%
  • Adailton Furia18%
  • Hildon Chaves3%

24h —

$2k Vol.

Will Russia enter Moskovka by...?

Entry

  • October 3167%
  • September 3028%

24h -22.0 pts

$2k Vol.

What will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit in September 2026?

Entry

  • ↑ $62091%
  • ↓ $60076%
  • ↑ $64065%

24h +46.0 pts

$2k Vol.

Texas Senate Election: Tarrant County Winner

Entry

  • James Talarico (D)67%
  • Ken Paxton (R)19%
  • Other50%

24h -26.0 pts

$2k Vol.

Lowest temperature in Shanghai on September 6?

Entry

  • 26°C51%
  • 25°C4%
  • 24°C1%

24h +16.5 pts

$2k Vol.

Where will it rain on September 3?

Entry

  • Washington, DC100%
  • New York, NY100%
  • Seattle, WA100%

24h -3.2 pts

$2k Vol.

ISM Manufacturing PMI - September 2026

Entry

  • 54.0 to 54.921%
  • 53.0 to 53.920%
  • 52.0 to 52.918%

24h -24.1 pts

$2k Vol.

Emmys 2026: Outstanding limited or anthology series

Entry

  • “DTF St. Louis”91%
  • “Beef”8%
  • “Love Story: John F. Kennedy Jr. & Carolyn Bessette”3%

24h +2.0 pts

$2k Vol.

Drummond–Bois-Francs Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

Entry

  • Charles Page57%
  • Sébastien Schneeberger38%
  • Myriam Cournoyer3%

24h +5.5 pts

$2k Vol.

What will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit in September 2026?

Entry

  • ↑ $34092%
  • ↑ $35066%
  • ↓ $33064%

24h +48.9 pts

$1k Vol.

Where will 2026 rank among the highest U.S. domestic box office years on record?

Entry

  • 10th-12th67%
  • 6th or higher18%
  • 7th-9th10%

24h +28.0 pts

$1k Vol.

Will Glean's valuation hit __ by December 31?

Entry

  • ↑$7.5B81%
  • ↑$8B58%
  • ↑$9B52%

24h +50.0 pts

$1k Vol.

Who will Trump speak to in September?

Entry

  • Xi Jinping97%
  • Mark Carney95%
  • Volodymyr Zelenskyy95%

24h +14.0 pts

$1k Vol.

Which Senate races will be within 5%?

Entry

  • Texas80%
  • Michigan64%
  • Iowa62%

24h +29.5 pts

$1k Vol.

Carly Rae Jepsen 'Day and Night' First Week Album Sales?

Entry

  • <30k73%
  • 30-40k23%
  • 40-50k6%

24h +4.8 pts

$1k Vol.

Heidi Overton confirmed as FDA Commissioner by...?

Entry

  • December 3152%
  • November 3027%
  • October 3123%

24h -24.5 pts

$1k Vol.

Roraima Senate Election: 1st Place

Entry

  • Teresa Surita56%
  • Nicoletti31%
  • Helena da Asatur12%

24h +13.5 pts

$1k Vol.

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes worldwide August 31 - September 6?

Entry

  • 098%
  • 12%
  • 20%

24h +8.0 pts

$1k Vol.

How many dissent at the September Fed meeting?

Entry

  • 028%
  • 124%
  • 222%

24h -10.5 pts

$1k Vol.

"Fall 2: Deadpoint" Rotten Tomatoes Score?

Entry

  • 40+98%
  • 50+91%
  • 52+89%

24h +40.0 pts

$1k Vol.

FL-08 House Election Margin of Victory

Entry

  • Republican 0-5%21%
  • Republican 5-10%19%
  • Republican 10-15%14%

24h -27.5 pts

$1k Vol.

Second-best AI Agent Lab end of October?

Entry

  • OpenAI63%
  • Anthropic17%
  • Moonshot9%

24h +12.0 pts

$1k Vol.

What will be the #2 global Netflix show this week?

Entry

  • Beauty in Black: Season 398%
  • The Gentlemen: Season 22%
  • Death of the Pastor's Wife: Season 10%

24h +31.0 pts

$1k Vol.

Next Claude Opus Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?

Entry

  • 45%+96%
  • 50%+95%
  • 55%+42%

24h -11.0 pts

$1k Vol.

What will Trump say this week? (August 31 - September 6)

Entry

  • God32%

24h +46.8 pts

$1k Vol.

Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

Entry

  • Patrick Paquet52%
  • Françoise Faverjon-Fortin23%
  • Stéphanie Martin21%

24h +32.0 pts

$1k Vol.

Adamawa, Nigeria Governor Election Winner

Entry

  • Ahmed Galadima56%
  • Maurice Vunobolki6%
  • Wafarinyi Theman Dalatu4%

24h +11.0 pts

$1k Vol.

Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?

Entry

  • J.D. Vance90%
  • Ted Cruz87%
  • Pete Buttigieg87%

24h +36.0 pts

$1k Vol.

Vaimauga 3 By-Election Winner

Entry

  • Nonu Lemauga Laulu William Mauia43%
  • Vaiofuaiupolu Chris Faaofo28%
  • Sooialo Lemigaoitamalii Sooialo25%

24h -11.5 pts

$1k Vol.

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