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What would most likely move this market in the next two weeks?
A clear polling shift in the remaining toss-up states, or a debate that changes the race’s fundamentals rather than a one-day headline.
Is the current price missing turnout or coalition risk?
Yes in part — implied odds still lean on national polling averages and may underweight late-deciding and first-time voters.
What would cause this market to resolve earlier than expected?
A concession, certified result, or an unambiguous official call that meets the resolution criteria — not unofficial media projections alone.
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FutureSearch
42%
Polymarket
50%
Independent research
A funded FutureSearch run produces a dated forecast, rationale, and cited analysis for this Entry.
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Sources appear after Overview research.
This market will resolve according to the individual ranked #1 in Google’s official Year in Search Global "Passings" list for 2026. The specified list is expected to be displayed on the Google Trends Year in Search hub, with location selected to Global. The navigation procedure as of market creation involves going to trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/ and clicking through Global → Trending → Passings. The 2026 page is expected to appear using the same navigation once released (as the 2025 page currently shows the specified ranking). This market will resolve based on the specified list regardless of navigation procedure. This market may resolve as soon as the specified list for 2026 is released. If Google does not release the specified list by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the specified list as published by Google.
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Research uses a two-step flow: open web research, then a structured Overview extraction. Initialize builds the baseline Overview; Update produces a dated Overview for a specific UTC calendar day.
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https://polymarket.com/event/1-searched-passings-on-google-this-year-20260717220846800
This market will resolve according to the individual ranked #1 in Google’s official Year in Search Global "Passings" list for 2026. The specified list is expected to be displayed on the Google Trends Year in Search hub, with location selected to Global. The navigation procedure as of market creation involves going to trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/ and clicking through Global → Trending → Passings. The 2026 page is expected to appear using the same navigation once released (as the 2025 page currently shows the specified ranking). This market will resolve based on the specified list regardless of navigation procedure. This market may resolve as soon as the specified list for 2026 is released. If Google does not release the specified list by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the specified list as published by Google.
Markets
Will Dolly Parton be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?
Dolly Parton · active · No 54% · Yes 46%
Will Oliver Tree be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?
Oliver Tree · active · No 86% · Yes 14%
Will Ali Khamenei be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?
Ali Khamenei · active · No 90% · Yes 11%
Will Renée Good be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?
Renée Good · active · No 95% · Yes 5%
Will Chuck Norris be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?
Chuck Norris · active · No 97% · Yes 3%
Will Alex Pretti be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?
Alex Pretti · active · No 97% · Yes 3%
Will Sam Neill be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?
Sam Neill · active · No 99% · Yes 1%
Will Kyle Busch be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?
Kyle Busch · active · No 99% · Yes 1%
Will Robert Duvall be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?
Robert Duvall · active · No 99% · Yes 1%
Will Eric Dane be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?
Eric Dane · active · No 99% · Yes 1%
Will Ted Turner be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?
Ted Turner · active · No 99% · Yes 1%
Will Valentino Garavani be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?
Valentino Garavani · active · No 99% · Yes 1%
Will Lindsey Graham be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?
Lindsey Graham · active · No 99% · Yes 1%
Will Bob Weir be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?
Bob Weir · active · No 99% · Yes 1%
Will Clive Davis be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?
Clive Davis · active · No 99% · Yes 1%
Will James Van Der Beek be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?
James Van Der Beek · active · No 99% · Yes 1%
Will David Hockney be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?
David Hockney · active · No 99% · Yes 1%
Will Nicholas Brendon be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?
Nicholas Brendon · active · No 99% · Yes 1%
Will Jesse Jackson be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?
Jesse Jackson · active · No 99% · Yes 1%
Will Bonnie Tyler be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?
Bonnie Tyler · active · No 99% · Yes 1%
Will Catherine O'Hara be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?
Catherine O'Hara · active · No 99% · Yes 1%
Will Alan Greenspan be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?
Alan Greenspan · active · No 99% · Yes 1%
Will Victor Willis be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?
Victor Willis · active · No 99% · Yes 1%
Will Scott Adams be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?
Scott Adams · active · No 99% · Yes 1%
Will Person 37 be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?
Person 37 · unknown · No 50% · Yes 50%
Will Person 5 be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?
Person 5 · unknown · No 50% · Yes 50%
Will someone else be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?
Other · unknown · No 50% · Yes 50%
Will Person 46 be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?
Person 46 · unknown · No 50% · Yes 50%
Will Person 19 be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?
Person 19 · unknown · No 50% · Yes 50%
Will Person 24 be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?
Person 24 · unknown · No 50% · Yes 50%
Will Person 4 be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?
Person 4 · unknown · No 50% · Yes 50%
Will Person 38 be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?
Person 38 · unknown · No 50% · Yes 50%
Will Person 43 be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?
Person 43 · unknown · No 50% · Yes 50%
Will Person 6 be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?
Person 6 · unknown · No 50% · Yes 50%
Will Person 36 be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?
Person 36 · unknown · No 50% · Yes 50%
Will Person 12 be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?
Person 12 · unknown · No 50% · Yes 50%
Will Person 26 be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?
Person 26 · unknown · No 50% · Yes 50%
Will Person 34 be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?
Person 34 · unknown · No 50% · Yes 50%
Will Person 8 be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?
Person 8 · unknown · No 50% · Yes 50%
Will Person 9 be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?
Person 9 · unknown · No 50% · Yes 50%
Will Person 10 be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?
Person 10 · unknown · No 50% · Yes 50%
Will Person 29 be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?
Person 29 · unknown · No 50% · Yes 50%
Will Person 35 be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?
Person 35 · unknown · No 50% · Yes 50%
Will Person 41 be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?
Person 41 · unknown · No 50% · Yes 50%
Will Person 31 be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?
Person 31 · unknown · No 50% · Yes 50%
Will Person 40 be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?
Person 40 · unknown · No 50% · Yes 50%
Will Person 3 be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?
Person 3 · unknown · No 50% · Yes 50%
Will Person 45 be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?
Person 45 · unknown · No 50% · Yes 50%
Will Person 13 be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?
Person 13 · unknown · No 50% · Yes 50%
Will Person 28 be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?
Person 28 · unknown · No 50% · Yes 50%
Will Person 44 be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?
Person 44 · unknown · No 50% · Yes 50%
Will Person 7 be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?
Person 7 · unknown · No 50% · Yes 50%
Will Person 11 be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?
Person 11 · unknown · No 50% · Yes 50%
Will Person 18 be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?
Person 18 · unknown · No 50% · Yes 50%
Will Person 21 be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?
Person 21 · unknown · No 50% · Yes 50%
Will Person 15 be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?
Person 15 · unknown · No 50% · Yes 50%
Will Person 27 be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?
Person 27 · unknown · No 50% · Yes 50%
Will Person 33 be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?
Person 33 · unknown · No 50% · Yes 50%
Will Person 17 be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?
Person 17 · unknown · No 50% · Yes 50%
Will Person 16 be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?
Person 16 · unknown · No 50% · Yes 50%
Will Person 39 be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?
Person 39 · unknown · No 50% · Yes 50%
Will Person 22 be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?
Person 22 · unknown · No 50% · Yes 50%
Will Person 23 be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?
Person 23 · unknown · No 50% · Yes 50%
Will Person 32 be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?
Person 32 · unknown · No 50% · Yes 50%
Will Person 30 be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?
Person 30 · unknown · No 50% · Yes 50%
Will Person 14 be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?
Person 14 · unknown · No 50% · Yes 50%
Will Person 42 be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?
Person 42 · unknown · No 50% · Yes 50%
Will Person 20 be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?
Person 20 · unknown · No 50% · Yes 50%
Will Person 25 be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?
Person 25 · unknown · No 50% · Yes 50%
Will Person 47 be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?
Person 47 · unknown · No 50% · Yes 50%