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What would most likely move this market in the next two weeks?
A clear polling shift in the remaining toss-up states, or a debate that changes the race’s fundamentals rather than a one-day headline.
Is the current price missing turnout or coalition risk?
Yes in part — implied odds still lean on national polling averages and may underweight late-deciding and first-time voters.
What would cause this market to resolve earlier than expected?
A concession, certified result, or an unambiguous official call that meets the resolution criteria — not unofficial media projections alone.
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FutureSearch
92%
Polymarket
100%
Independent research
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The All-In Podcast is scheduled to release episodes every Friday. (https://allin.com/episodes) This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during the next released episode of the All-In Podcast. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the next episode of the All-In Podcast added to the official YouTube playlist: https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLn5MTSAqaf8peDZQ57QkJBzewJU1aUokl. Specials or other videos posted on the YouTube channel but not included on the All-In Podcast playlist will not be considered. If no such episode of the All-In Podcast is aired by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
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https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-be-said-on-the-next-all-in-podcast-september-4-20260831
The All-In Podcast is scheduled to release episodes every Friday. (https://allin.com/episodes) This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during the next released episode of the All-In Podcast. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the next episode of the All-In Podcast added to the official YouTube playlist: https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLn5MTSAqaf8peDZQ57QkJBzewJU1aUokl. Specials or other videos posted on the YouTube channel but not included on the All-In Podcast playlist will not be considered. If no such episode of the All-In Podcast is aired by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Markets
Will "Software" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?
Software · active · No 1% · Yes 100%
Will "Anthropic" be said 5+ times during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?
Anthropic 5+ times · active · No 3% · Yes 98%
Will "IPO" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?
IPO · active · No 3% · Yes 97%
Will "Hundred" or "Thousand" or "Million" be said 10+ times during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?
Hundred / Thousand / Million 10+ times · active · No 3% · Yes 97%
Will "Nvidia" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?
Nvidia · active · No 4% · Yes 96%
Will "Blue" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?
Blue · active · No 4% · Yes 96%
Will "Red" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?
Red · active · No 32% · Yes 69%
Will "SpaceX" be said 3+ times during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?
SpaceX 3+ times · active · No 51% · Yes 50%
Will "Stock Market" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?
Stock Market · active · No 50% · Yes 50%
Will no episode air?
-No Qualifying Event- · active · No 100% · Yes 1%