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What would most likely move this market in the next two weeks?
A clear polling shift in the remaining toss-up states, or a debate that changes the race’s fundamentals rather than a one-day headline.
Is the current price missing turnout or coalition risk?
Yes in part — implied odds still lean on national polling averages and may underweight late-deciding and first-time voters.
What would cause this market to resolve earlier than expected?
A concession, certified result, or an unambiguous official call that meets the resolution criteria — not unofficial media projections alone.
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Polymarket
100%
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between August 31, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and September 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Period+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
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https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-say-this-week-august-31-september-6
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between August 31, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and September 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Period+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Markets
Will Trump say "Transgender" this week?
Transgender · closed · No 0% · Yes 100%
Will Trump say "Ballroom" this week?
Ballroom · closed · No 0% · Yes 100%
Will Trump say "God" this week?
God · active · No 69% · Yes 32%
Will Trump say "Karoline" or "Leavitt" this week?
Karoline / Leavitt · closed · No 100% · Yes 0%
Will Trump say "Warrior" this week?
Warrior · closed · No 100% · Yes 0%
Will Trump say "Who Are You" this week?
Who Are You · closed · No 0% · Yes 100%
Will Trump say "Droneport" this week?
Droneport · closed · No 100% · Yes 0%
Will Trump say "Milk" this week?
Milk · closed · No 100% · Yes 0%
Will Trump say "Incompetent" this week?
Incompetent · closed · No 100% · Yes 0%
Will Trump say "Graffiti" this week?
Graffiti · closed · No 100% · Yes 0%
Will Trump say "11,888" this week?
11,888 · closed · No 0% · Yes 100%
Will Trump say "Bye Bye" this week?
Bye Bye · closed · No 100% · Yes 0%
Will Trump say "Boom" or "Booming" this week?
Boom / Booming · closed · No 0% · Yes 100%
Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" this week?
Barack Hussein Obama · closed · No 100% · Yes 0%
Will Trump say "Mom" or "Mommy" this week?
Mom / Mommy · closed · No 100% · Yes 0%
Will Trump say "Fever" or "Flu" this week?
Fever / Flu · closed · No 100% · Yes 0%
Will Trump say "Migrant Criminal" this week?
Migrant Criminal · closed · No 100% · Yes 0%
Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week?
Six Seven · closed · No 100% · Yes 0%
Will Trump say "Peanut" this week?
Peanut · closed · No 100% · Yes 0%
Will Trump say "Egg" this week?
Egg · closed · No 0% · Yes 100%
Will Trump say "America First" this week?
America First · closed · No 0% · Yes 100%
Will Trump say "Tremendous" this week?
Tremendous · closed · No 0% · Yes 100%
Will Trump say "Through The Roof" this week?
Through The Roof · closed · No 0% · Yes 100%