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What would most likely move this market in the next two weeks?
A clear polling shift in the remaining toss-up states, or a debate that changes the race’s fundamentals rather than a one-day headline.
Is the current price missing turnout or coalition risk?
Yes in part — implied odds still lean on national polling averages and may underweight late-deciding and first-time voters.
What would cause this market to resolve earlier than expected?
A concession, certified result, or an unambiguous official call that meets the resolution criteria — not unofficial media projections alone.
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Carly Rae Jepsen's new album 'Day and Night' is expected to release September 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for Carly Rae Jepsen's album 'Day and Night', according to Hits Daily Double. If the album 'Day and Night' has not been released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
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https://polymarket.com/event/carly-rae-jepsen-day-and-night-first-week-album-sales-20260629185320818
Carly Rae Jepsen's new album 'Day and Night' is expected to release September 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for Carly Rae Jepsen's album 'Day and Night', according to Hits Daily Double. If the album 'Day and Night' has not been released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Markets
Will "Day and Night" - Carly Rae Jepsen first week album sales be less than 30k?
<30k · active · No 28% · Yes 73%
Will "Day and Night" - Carly Rae Jepsen first week album sales be between 30k and 40k?
30-40k · active · No 77% · Yes 23%
Will "Day and Night" - Carly Rae Jepsen first week album sales be between 40k and 50k?
40-50k · active · No 94% · Yes 6%
Will "Day and Night" - Carly Rae Jepsen first week album sales be between 50k and 60k?
50-60k · active · No 99% · Yes 1%
Will "Day and Night" - Carly Rae Jepsen first week album sales be 70k or more?
70k+ · active · No 99% · Yes 1%
Will "Day and Night" - Carly Rae Jepsen first week album sales be between 60k and 70k?
60-70k · active · No 100% · Yes 0%