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What would most likely move this market in the next two weeks?
A clear polling shift in the remaining toss-up states, or a debate that changes the race’s fundamentals rather than a one-day headline.
Is the current price missing turnout or coalition risk?
Yes in part — implied odds still lean on national polling averages and may underweight late-deciding and first-time voters.
What would cause this market to resolve earlier than expected?
A concession, certified result, or an unambiguous official call that meets the resolution criteria — not unofficial media projections alone.
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual speaks with Donald Trump between September 1 and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Speaking is defined as any verbal interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be credible media reporting. However, in the absence of definitive or in the case of contradictory media reporting, statements by either of the specified individuals or their official representatives will also be considered. Statements by the specified individuals or their official representatives will only be considered conclusive if the claims explicitly, or in context unambiguously, indicate that a qualifying talk occurred within the specified timeframe and took place via verbal communication, and provided that such claims are not contradicted by the other specified individual, their representatives, or credible media reporting by the end of the third calendar date (ET) following the statement in question. This market will resolve at the earlier of i) a qualifying verbal interaction being confirmed under the above rules or ii) 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following this market's above-specified timeframe. If the date and time of a qualifying talk cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following this market's above-specified timeframe, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
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https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-trump-speak-to-in-september
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual speaks with Donald Trump between September 1 and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Speaking is defined as any verbal interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be credible media reporting. However, in the absence of definitive or in the case of contradictory media reporting, statements by either of the specified individuals or their official representatives will also be considered. Statements by the specified individuals or their official representatives will only be considered conclusive if the claims explicitly, or in context unambiguously, indicate that a qualifying talk occurred within the specified timeframe and took place via verbal communication, and provided that such claims are not contradicted by the other specified individual, their representatives, or credible media reporting by the end of the third calendar date (ET) following the statement in question. This market will resolve at the earlier of i) a qualifying verbal interaction being confirmed under the above rules or ii) 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following this market's above-specified timeframe. If the date and time of a qualifying talk cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following this market's above-specified timeframe, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
Markets
Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in September?
Xi Jinping · active · No 3% · Yes 97%
Will Trump speak to Andy Burnham in September?
Andy Burnham · closed · No 0% · Yes 100%
Will Trump speak to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in September?
Lula da Silva · active · No 25% · Yes 75%
Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in September?
Volodymyr Zelenskyy · active · No 6% · Yes 95%
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in September?
Emmanuel Macron · active · No 30% · Yes 71%
Will Trump speak to Ursula von der Leyen in September?
Ursula von der Leyen · active · No 45% · Yes 55%
Will Trump speak to Mark Rutte in September?
Mark Rutte · active · No 26% · Yes 74%
Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in September?
Mohammed bin Salman · closed · No 0% · Yes 100%
Will Trump speak to Friedrich Merz in September?
Friedrich Merz · active · No 56% · Yes 44%
Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in September?
Vladimir Putin · closed · No 0% · Yes 100%
Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in September?
Ahmed al-Sharaa · active · No 49% · Yes 51%
Will Trump speak to Mark Carney in September?
Mark Carney · active · No 5% · Yes 95%
Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in September?
Elon Musk · active · No 66% · Yes 35%
Will Trump speak to Maria Corina Machado in September?
Maria Corina Machado · active · No 56% · Yes 44%
Will Trump speak to Kim Jong Un in September?
Kim Jong Un · active · No 94% · Yes 6%
Will Trump speak to Pope Leo XIV in September?
Pope Leo XIV · active · No 95% · Yes 6%
Will Trump speak to Miguel Díaz-Canel in September?
Miguel Díaz-Canel · active · No 93% · Yes 7%
Will Trump speak to Reza Pahlavi in September?
Reza Pahlavi · active · No 96% · Yes 4%
Will Trump speak to Masoud Pezeshkian in September?
Masoud Pezeshkian · active · No 97% · Yes 3%
Will Trump speak to Nicolás Maduro in September?
Nicolás Maduro · active · No 99% · Yes 1%
Will Trump speak to Mojtaba Khamenei in September?
Mojtaba Khamenei · active · No 99% · Yes 1%
Will Trump speak to Yoon Suk Yeol in September?
Yoon Suk Yeol · active · No 99% · Yes 1%