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What would most likely move this market in the next two weeks?
A clear polling shift in the remaining toss-up states, or a debate that changes the race’s fundamentals rather than a one-day headline.
Is the current price missing turnout or coalition risk?
Yes in part — implied odds still lean on national polling averages and may underweight late-deciding and first-time voters.
What would cause this market to resolve earlier than expected?
A concession, certified result, or an unambiguous official call that meets the resolution criteria — not unofficial media projections alone.
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FutureSearch
91%
Polymarket
99%
Independent research
A funded FutureSearch run produces a dated forecast, rationale, and cited analysis for this Entry.
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Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, September 8, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 global Netflix movie. Movies will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more movies are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
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https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-be-the-2-global-netflix-movie-this-week-20260908
Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, September 8, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 global Netflix movie. Movies will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more movies are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Markets
Will "Turning Point: Generation 9/11" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?
Turning Point: Generation 9/11 · active · No 1% · Yes 99%
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI: An Extended Look" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?
Grand Theft Auto VI: An Extended Look · active · No 99% · Yes 1%
Will "The Whisper Man" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?
The Whisper Man · active · No 100% · Yes 0%
Will "The Last House" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?
The Last House · active · No 100% · Yes 0%
Will "Untold Raygun: Breaking Badly" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?
Untold Raygun: Breaking Badly · active · No 100% · Yes 0%
Will "Don't Say Good Luck" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?
Don't Say Good Luck · active · No 100% · Yes 0%
Will "The Prince of Egypt" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?
The Prince of Egypt · active · No 100% · Yes 0%
Will "Ready or Not" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?
Ready or Not · active · No 100% · Yes 0%
Will "The Heat" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?
The Heat · active · No 100% · Yes 0%
Will "Jaws" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?
Jaws · active · No 100% · Yes 0%
Will Movie H be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?
Movie H · unknown · No 50% · Yes 50%
Will another movie be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?
Other · unknown · No 50% · Yes 50%
Will Movie F be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?
Movie F · unknown · No 50% · Yes 50%
Will Movie C be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?
Movie C · unknown · No 50% · Yes 50%
Will Movie E be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?
Movie E · unknown · No 50% · Yes 50%
Will Movie K be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?
Movie K · unknown · No 50% · Yes 50%
Will Movie B be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?
Movie B · unknown · No 50% · Yes 50%
Will Movie D be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?
Movie D · unknown · No 50% · Yes 50%
Will Movie A be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?
Movie A · unknown · No 50% · Yes 50%
Will Movie I be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?
Movie I · unknown · No 50% · Yes 50%
Will Movie J be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?
Movie J · unknown · No 50% · Yes 50%
Will Movie G be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?
Movie G · unknown · No 50% · Yes 50%