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What would most likely move this market in the next two weeks?
A clear polling shift in the remaining toss-up states, or a debate that changes the race’s fundamentals rather than a one-day headline.
Is the current price missing turnout or coalition risk?
Yes in part — implied odds still lean on national polling averages and may underweight late-deciding and first-time voters.
What would cause this market to resolve earlier than expected?
A concession, certified result, or an unambiguous official call that meets the resolution criteria — not unofficial media projections alone.
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91%
Polymarket
99%
Independent research
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Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, September 8, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix movie. If multiple movies tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the movie whose listed title comes first alphabetically. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
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https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-be-the-top-us-netflix-movie-this-week-20260908
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, September 8, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix movie. If multiple movies tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the movie whose listed title comes first alphabetically. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Markets
Will "The Whisper Man" be the top US Netflix movie this week?
The Whisper Man · active · No 1% · Yes 99%
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI: An Extended Look" be the top US Netflix movie this week?
Grand Theft Auto VI: An Extended Look · active · No 99% · Yes 1%
Will "The Last House" be the top US Netflix movie this week?
The Last House · active · No 100% · Yes 0%
Will "The Secret Woman" be the top US Netflix movie this week?
The Secret Woman · active · No 100% · Yes 0%
Will "Ready or Not" be the top US Netflix movie this week?
Ready or Not · active · No 100% · Yes 1%
Will "Turning Point: Generation 9/11" be the top US Netflix movie this week?
Turning Point: Generation 9/11 · active · No 99% · Yes 1%
Will "Untold Raygun: Breaking Badly" be the top US Netflix movie this week?
Untold Raygun: Breaking Badly · active · No 100% · Yes 1%
Will "Facing El Chapo" be the top US Netflix movie this week?
Facing El Chapo · active · No 100% · Yes 0%
Will "The Heat" be the top US Netflix movie this week?
The Heat · active · No 100% · Yes 1%
Will "Jaws" be the top US Netflix movie this week?
Jaws · active · No 100% · Yes 0%
Will "The Prince of Egypt" be the top US Netflix movie this week?
The Prince of Egypt · active · No 100% · Yes 0%
Will Movie D be the top US Netflix movie this week?
Movie D · unknown · No 50% · Yes 50%
Will Movie A be the top US Netflix movie this week?
Movie A · unknown · No 50% · Yes 50%
Will Movie J be the top US Netflix movie this week?
Movie J · unknown · No 50% · Yes 50%
Will Movie G be the top US Netflix movie this week?
Movie G · unknown · No 50% · Yes 50%
Will Movie I be the top US Netflix movie this week?
Movie I · unknown · No 50% · Yes 50%
Will Movie F be the top US Netflix movie this week?
Movie F · unknown · No 50% · Yes 50%
Will another movie be the top US Netflix movie this week?
Other · unknown · No 50% · Yes 50%
Will Movie B be the top US Netflix movie this week?
Movie B · unknown · No 50% · Yes 50%
Will Movie H be the top US Netflix movie this week?
Movie H · unknown · No 50% · Yes 50%
Will Movie C be the top US Netflix movie this week?
Movie C · unknown · No 50% · Yes 50%
Will Movie K be the top US Netflix movie this week?
Movie K · unknown · No 50% · Yes 50%
Will Movie E be the top US Netflix movie this week?
Movie E · unknown · No 50% · Yes 50%